Solar economics for all 50 states + DC

Is solar worth it where you live?

We pair NREL irradiance, EIA installed-capacity, and the DSIRE incentive database into one comparable picture per state, sunshine, electricity rates, modeled payback, and the rebates, tax credits, and net-metering rules that actually move the math.

Free, no sign-up. Built on public federal data, see how we score states.

The national picture

U.S. installed solar capacity reached about 124 GW in 2024 - roughly 126× its 2010 level, yet the payback math still turns on your state: only 7 of 51 states pay back a typical system in under a decade.

124 GW
U.S. installed solar, 2024 (EIA)
5.2 yr
fastest payback - Hawaii
41/51
states with full retail net metering
137
tracked incentive programs

Figures are derived from public EIA, NREL, and DSIRE data; payback is modeled, not guaranteed.

National solar overview

4.82

avg irradiance (kWh/m²/day)

15.98¢

avg electricity rate (per kWh)

$17k

avg 6 kW system cost

14.2 yr

avg modeled payback

137

incentive programs

51

states + DC covered

U.S. solar capacity, 1990–2024

Total installed solar nameplate capacity reported to the EIA. The curve is nearly flat for two decades, then bends sharply upward after the 2006 federal tax-credit extension.

-50000 MW0 MW50 GW100 GW150 GW 19901995200020052010201520202024 124 GW
One reading: a policy-driven inflection, not a steady ramp, the ITC era reshaped U.S. solar.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, installed solar nameplate capacity As of 2024

Top 10 states by installed solar capacity

Nameplate MW reported to the EIA, 2024

MW

What this shows California and Texas alone account for the largest share of U.S. capacity, sunshine matters, but so do utility-scale build-out and state policy.

Source U.S. Energy Information Administration As of 2024

Sunshine isn't what makes solar pay off

Each dot is a state, placed by its sunshine (left to right) and how fast a typical system pays back (faster toward the bottom). The fast-payback states sit on the left, not the right: high electricity rates, not raw sun, drive the return.

Hawaii (highlighted) clears payback in 5.2 years on 5.9 kWh/m²/day, not the sunniest, but among the priciest grid power.

Modest sun · fast payback (high rates)Sun + speedModest sun · slowSunny but slow (cheap power)3.24.15.05.86.74.1 yr10.0 yr15.9 yr21.8 yr27.7 yrSolar irradiance (kWh/m²/day) →← Faster payback (years)
Hawaii (highlighted) clears payback in 5.2 years on 5.9 kWh/m²/day, not the sunniest, but among the priciest grid power.

Source: PlainSolarData model, NREL irradiance + EIA rates As of 2024

Where solar pays off first

Three lenses on the same dataset, overall potential, value after payback, and incentive depth. Every figure links to the full state profile.

Highest solar score

Composite of irradiance, incentives & payback

1 Hawaii 67 Strong
2 California 66 Strong
3 Arizona 61 Strong
4 New Mexico 57 Moderate
5 Nevada 53 Moderate
6 Texas 49 Moderate
7 Florida 47 Moderate
8 Colorado 45 Moderate
All rankings →

Best overall value

High solar score paired with a short payback

1
Hawaii
Score 67 · Payback 5.2 yr
38¢
2
California
Score 66 · Payback 6.3 yr
30¢
3
Arizona
Score 61 · Payback 10.3 yr
13.5¢
4
New Mexico
Score 57 · Payback 10.3 yr
14¢
5
Nevada
Score 53 · Payback 11.9 yr
12.5¢
Estimate your ROI →

Most incentive programs

Tax credits, rebates, SRECs & exemptions

1 California 4 programs
2 Arizona 4 programs
3 Nevada 4 programs
4 Texas 4 programs
5 Florida 4 programs
Browse all incentives →

What decides whether solar pays off

Four levers determine the payback math, and each one varies enormously by state.

Solar irradiance

How much sun reaches your roof. The sunniest states clear 6+ kWh/m²/day; the cloudiest sit near 3.4. More sun means more kilowatt-hours per panel.

Compare states →

Electricity rate

Higher bills mean faster payback. Hawaii's ~38¢/kWh versus Louisiana's ~10¢/kWh changes the answer entirely, solar offsets your retail rate.

Run the numbers →

State incentives

Net metering, rebates, SRECs, and property/sales-tax exemptions all stack. Their depth is the single biggest controllable variable in payback.

Find incentives →

Installation cost

A typical 6 kW system runs in the mid-teens to ~$20k before incentives. Local cost per watt and available rebates can move net cost by a third.

Estimate cost →

How to use this

Start with your state, then pressure-test the payback with your own bill.

  • Open your state profile for its irradiance, rate, modeled payback, and the exact incentive programs you can claim. Find your state
  • Run the savings calculator with your real electricity rate and system size, defaults are state averages, not your bill. Solar calculator
  • Check net-metering and SREC rules before you sign, export compensation, not panel price, often decides the return. Net-metering guide

Payback and savings here are modeled estimates from public data; a binding quote requires a site-specific assessment from a licensed installer.

Solar guides

Plain-language explainers, plus the full guides library, state rankings, and all state profiles.

Frequently asked questions

What does PlainSolarData track?
PlainSolarData aggregates state-level solar capacity, deployment trends, and incentive-program data for all 50 states plus DC. The dataset is built from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) electric-power data, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) solar-resource data, and the DSIRE database of state and utility incentive programs. Each state page surfaces installed capacity, average installed cost per watt, modeled payback, net-metering policy status, and incentive-program counts.
What is net metering?
Net metering is a billing arrangement under which a customer who generates their own electricity (typically with rooftop solar) receives a credit on their utility bill for surplus electricity they export to the grid. Under traditional full-retail net metering, every exported kilowatt-hour offsets one consumed kilowatt-hour at the retail rate. Many states have moved to "net billing" structures that compensate exports at a lower avoided-cost or wholesale rate, changing residential-solar economics. We track the current rule on each state page.
How is solar capacity measured (MW versus MWh)?
Solar capacity is measured in megawatts (MW) - the maximum instantaneous power output under standard test conditions. Solar generation is measured in megawatt-hours (MWh) - actual energy produced over time. A 5 MW array does not produce 5 MWh every hour; annual generation depends on the location's capacity factor, which for U.S. utility-scale solar typically runs 18–28 percent. We use MW for installed capacity and MWh for generation, following EIA conventions.
How is the solar score calculated?
The solar score (0–100) is a composite we compute from three inputs: average solar irradiance (40 percent), incentive-program density (30 percent), and modeled payback period (30 percent). It is a relative comparison aid across states, not a guarantee of returns. The full formula is documented on our methodology page, and each state page shows the underlying inputs so you can judge the score yourself.
How current is the data?
EIA publishes electric-power data on a rolling schedule; the installed-capacity series on this site runs through 2024. DSIRE incentive-program data is updated continuously by the N.C. Clean Energy Technology Center as state and utility programs change. PlainSolarData refreshes from each upstream source on its own cadence and surfaces source dates on every data page.
What is a SREC?
A Solar Renewable Energy Certificate (SREC) represents the environmental attributes of one megawatt-hour of solar generation, separable from the electricity itself. In states with a Renewable Portfolio Standard that includes a solar carve-out, regulated utilities must buy SRECs for compliance, and system owners can sell theirs on the open market. SREC values vary widely by state and change frequently as compliance markets mature.